Timeline for If humans were biologically immortal, but had an average lifespan of 100 years, what would the distribution of ages be?
Current License: CC BY-SA 4.0
19 events
| when toggle format | what | by | license | comment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 at 13:45 | vote | accept | Christopher King | ||
| Nov 13, 2018 at 13:31 | comment | added | Christopher King | @nullpointer yeah, I was thinking afterwards that this was probably a better fit for math.se. | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 13:02 | comment | added | nullpointer | As it stands this question should be answered by a calculator or predictive modelling, not humans. You've declined or ruled out the factors that would make human interpretation useful. | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 13:00 | review | Close votes | |||
| Nov 13, 2018 at 15:54 | |||||
| Nov 13, 2018 at 11:38 | answer | added | Separatrix | timeline score: 1 | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 10:34 | comment | added | Ash | I like this question but I don't think it's answerable in its current form. At least partly you're ignoring conflict and geographically bounded disease environments as factors which they will always be. | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 10:03 | answer | added | M i ech | timeline score: 11 | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 9:11 | comment | added | user10645073 | Really interesting answers. But im not sure on how theres enough information to answer that question. Really curious. | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 5:01 | answer | added | Shadowzee | timeline score: 11 | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 4:33 | answer | added | Kain0_0 | timeline score: 0 | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 4:25 | comment | added | theRiley | at any rate, the longer one is alive, the likelier one is to contract a serious disease, just on the basis of extended risk. but the risk on any particular day is no more than any other (in contrast to mortals whose susceptibility increases). quantifying that would be way to much work for me, though. its an interesting question. i do expect that upon maturity, the probability graph is linear. | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 3:25 | answer | added | Willk | timeline score: 6 | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 2:17 | comment | added | RonJohn | Just because you say to ignore a factor doesn't mean a reasonable answer can ignore that factor. (And "equal healthcare" doesn't say anything about the quality of the healthcare.) | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 2:05 | answer | added | user49466 | timeline score: 1 | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 1:57 | comment | added | Christopher King | @RonJohn I said in the question that you can ignore that when answering. Just assume that the lifespan distribution is what I gave for everybody. (Maybe the world became communist and everyone has equal healthcare.) | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 1:52 | comment | added | RonJohn | Then -- given that mortality from disease is fundamentally dependent on access to healthcare -- your question is unanswerable. | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 1:48 | comment | added | Christopher King | @RonJohn For the purposes of this question, the age-of-death distribution is an exponential distribution with 100 years everywhere. It would be way too complicated to take into account the different distributions of different populations. Indeed, its not even clear what they would be, given the premise. | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 1:46 | comment | added | RonJohn | "but we'll ignore that for the purpose of this question". You can't ignore it, since that's intrinsic to the answer. (Afghanistan and Monaco will have fundamentally different age-of-death distributions.) | |
| Nov 13, 2018 at 1:18 | history | asked | Christopher King | CC BY-SA 4.0 |