A small rebel force has provoked the beginning of an uprising, and a small portion of a city's people has been stirred to anger against the government. No attempts to infiltrate or overthrow the government have been made, until the rebel force bombs a government shuttle dock.
The government retaliates by torturing and killing various people in order to find their way to the rebel "base". The government had no knowledge as to whether or not some of these people were guilty.
Naturally, this turns many more citizens to anger against the government - now 50% of the population is angry at the government, but still no rioting. Then, however, the leader of the rebel alliance is captured and put into prison. The common folk had varying degrees of knowledge that this leader was "in charge" of the rebellion, and many of them respected or admired him as a person.
The government puts out many advertisements and public service announcements intended to discredit the leader. This scares some of the mildly angry people into submission, but infuriates some others. Small rioting begins to occur (beer bottles thrown at government building windows, officials are assaulted, etc).
Then, the government releases the leader from prison temporarily, on a sort of parole or probation. The government intends for him to make a statement in front of the city, saying something along the lines of "I was mistaken in my actions. Lay down your weapons. We don't need an uprising/rebellion," with the intention of calming them.
Naturally, the leader does not want to calm the citizens, but to stir them up to even more anger against the government. He makes a statement in front of the people, bashing on the government for their actions and justifying his. The government puts him back in prison and severely beats/tortures him.
After three weeks of the leader being imprisoned again, the people have lost a small bit of faith in him (and the rebellion itself). The leader is then, once again, temporarily released, but this time he is forced to make an immediate statement on live TV, with the entire city watching.
The leader wants to make a statement that will both:
- Satiate the government (convince the officials that the leader no longer wants an uprising and regrets his actions to start one)
- Rile up the citizens (convince the citizens that the government is unjust and deserves to be overthrown)
He has about an hour to think of a speech, that will be around five minutes. If he fails to satiate the government he will be killed or exiled. If he fails to rile up the people he will be shunned by the community.
What can he say? I can't come up with anything sufficient for the life of me. (I'm not looking for an exact speech, just the general direction it should go in.)