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The Scenario: A technologically advanced mother culture wants to manage mass outbreaks of virulent disease in its technologically regressed colonies, who are inclined to resist most of what the mother culture does, good or bad, as a basic principle. The mother culture, for their own part, treats disease control primarily as a political and economic issue -- not a humanitarian cause.

The Question: Is it feasible for the mother culture to engineer a series of airborne vaccines, and then have aircraft spray them on population centers? Airborne vaccines have been considered before, and we have spray vaccines even today.

If so, how effective could such a program be at controlling disease? What kind of infrastructure and technology might it require? Roughly how often would they have to respray to maintain reasonable levels of immunity? Would there be probable unintended consequences (considering factors like allergic reactions, pregnancies, people with weakened immune systems, etc.)?

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If you were using an aerosol virus it would have to be a live attenuated vaccine. People might be inside or at sea or wearing a mask or otherwise might not inhale the vaccine during the period when it was airborne and you would have to have these people catch the vaccine from people who were vaccinated.

There are vaccines that work this way. The Sabin polio vaccine is a great example.

from http://amhistory.si.edu/polio/virusvaccine/vacraces2.htm

An important feature of Sabin’s oral polio vaccine was that immediately after vaccination, people shed weakened virus in their fecal waste. This boosted immunity for others in the community and gradually reduced the number of people susceptible to poliomyelitis.

Between 1963 and 1999, Sabin live vaccine largely replaced Salk killed vaccine everywhere in the world. However, because the live virus in the vaccine occasionally became strong enough to cause actual disease, Salk killed-type vaccine has replaced the live type in the United States.

In places where there is potentially real polio, the benefit of having vaccine transmitted person to person and prevent polio outweighs the occasional case of polio caused buy the vaccine. In the US where there is little polio (they graciously do not mention that usually in the US, our drinking water does not contain the poop of our neighbors so there is less transmission) the risk of vaccination induced polio outweighs the protection from real polio conferred.

In your situation the mother colony probably does not care too much about sickly people with weak immune systems. A live organism vaccine which was very contagious would be optimal for rapidly conferring immunity to the populace and a few cases of the actual disease among nonworkers would be acceptable. If you want them to seem like Hunger Games type hardasses you could make the vaccine itself be pretty tough on the populace - maybe scarring them up like smallpox used to do.

But back to real life and the WHO: generally for real vaccines the live attenuated vaccine is actually the pathogen itself and a weak strain is selected. Recombinant epitopes are already used in the hepatitis B vaccine. A transmissible norovirus (for example) engineered to express polio antigenic epitopes would have no possibility of causing real polio, but could induce immunity to those epitopes. Hopefully real vaccines are made that way in the near future because that would be much safer. A benign and paternalistic mother colony (can you have a paternalistic mother?) could cause everyone in the colony to get "stomach flu" or some even less symptomatic disease with a very contagious vector that was engineered to express the relevant epitopes.

ADDENDUM Infrastructure: You could spray an aerosol rhinovirus out of planes like crop dusting, or from trucks like they spray for mosquitoes.

Respray: it depends on the disease. Flu vaccine is every year because there are antigenic variants that come up. Polio vaccine lasts for life and so you would need to respray when there was a new generation of kids born since last spray.

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  • $\begingroup$ Yeah, I think we don't use airborne live-virus vaccines because there is always some small portion of the population who can't get the vaccine safely due to pre-existing health problems of some sort. It would be a good solution for a major pandemic that would overwhelm normal distribution, though. $\endgroup$ May 21, 2017 at 5:51
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    $\begingroup$ Airborne vaccines would also be phenomenally expensive in a situation where 99.99% of what you spray lands on the ground / trees etc. If people were living inside with central ventilation it would be much more effective (given thru ventilation system) but you would still vaccinate a lot of ductwork and floor. $\endgroup$
    – Willk
    May 21, 2017 at 15:41
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Airborne vaccines will face the same challenges as weaponized harmful biological agents--the dispensing method reduces effectiveness. In both cases the "strength" of the agent is less than a naturally occurring pathogen; the weapon is usually engineered to die out quickly to prevent spread beyond the target zone and the vaccine is engineered to not cause the target disease, so the relationship holds. A sneeze is a significantly less stressful delivery system than a spray from an aircraft, and the active contamination period from a sneeze is usually less than 24 hours.

I would recommend evaluating a method of distribution in a food or common OTC medicine product. Use ionized salt, vitamin fortified milk and enriched flour as models of practical distribution.

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With an airborne vaccine it would be really tough to ensure people got enough vaccine to tickle the immune system enough to lead to immunity. You might get a lot of people with partial immunity, which may be helpful if it's a last ditch effort, but a waste of resources otherwise. Better to ensure that the most vulnerable groups get full immunity! Via packaged food or drink (with a concentrated dose in a single serving) might work, assuming they've advanced beyond our vaccines which mostly need to be injected.

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