What would the effect on Earth be if Mars, in the space of one second, disappeared from the Solar System? Just simply was gone, leaving no residue, and leaving the space where it had been like it had never existed.

Would it have any effect on Earth at all?

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    $\begingroup$ In that form, it violates the laws of physics. Mars by its very presence changes the space in the solar system (including the space around it). So it cannot disappear without changing the space where it had been. $\endgroup$
    – celtschk
    Aug 3, 2016 at 9:38
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    $\begingroup$ Adding to what @celtschk wrote, basically, you just utterly, totally, completely violated the law of conservation of energy, which is one of the fundamental laws of physics as currently understood. That's going to lead to some massive headscratching by a lot of Earth-bound scientists. $\endgroup$
    – user
    Aug 3, 2016 at 10:12
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    $\begingroup$ @SGR That sounds like a specific enough question that it would make a good question on its own. $\endgroup$
    – user
    Aug 3, 2016 at 10:38
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    $\begingroup$ Elon Musk has some awkward conversations with investors. $\endgroup$ Aug 3, 2016 at 14:40
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    $\begingroup$ NASA is pissed. We have more exploration missions there than anywhere else. $\endgroup$
    – geometrian
    Aug 3, 2016 at 19:31

5 Answers 5


Mass panic and fears of the apocalypse

Physically? Nothing. There would be no readily discernable physical effect on the Earth or us, its inhabitants.

Emotionally and psychologically though, that is a whole 'nother story. It would cause a tremendous uproar. A magic event of astonishing proportions has taken place. As other answerers have pointed out: the event would violate the laws of physics as we know them. Only something supernatural / magical can make it happen. This would frighten people, because our sense of security and safety rests on the foundation that we can predict what happens next, which is the very purpose of discerning the laws of physics in the first place. As long as the laws of physics operate as we are used to, then we feel fairly safe and comfortable in our understanding of the great and scary place that is the universe.

But with this monumental event, all that feeling of safety is out the window. What is to say that our planet is not the next one?! "Mass panic" would probably not even begin to describe the mood. People would start fearing the apocalypse is at hand.

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    $\begingroup$ Comments are not for extended discussion; this conversation has been moved to chat. $\endgroup$ Aug 5, 2016 at 12:44
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    $\begingroup$ This. Lots of people would consider this to be absolute proof of something, but disagree (possibly violently) about what. It's clearly a sign from DEITY-OF-CHOICE about MORAL-OUTRAGE-OF-CHOICE. It clearly disproves both religion and science in favor of MAGICAL-SYSTEM-OF-CHOICE or SUPERNATURAL-PHENOMENA-OF-CHOICE. It clearly has a perfectly rational scientific explanation, we just don't know what it is yet. People with extreme views could see it not only as license but as an edict to pursue or push their extreme views by any means necessary, lest Earth be next. $\endgroup$ Aug 8, 2016 at 15:58

Without Mars there would be many fewer impacts of asteroids on Earth. I mentioned this in a comment but I think it's worth its own answer.

The reason is the following. Near-Earth asteroids -- asteroids whose orbits cross Earth's -- are the population of asteroids that can bash into Earth. They don't survive for too long, only a million years or so on average, because their orbits are not stable for the long term. So, where do they come from? Well, asteroids in the main asteroid belt (between 2.1 and 3.2 AU) are somehow pushed onto an unstable orbit, typically an orbital resonance with Jupiter or Saturn, like the 3:1 resonance with Jupiter (where the asteroid makes 3 orbits around the Sun for every 1 of Jupiter's). These locations are called the "Kirkwood gaps" and are systematically devoid of asteroids:

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On its way in to become a near-Earth object, the asteroid typically has its orbit stretched out (i.e., its orbit becomes much more "eccentric"). This causes the body's orbit to cross the orbit of Mars, and eventually the asteroid is usually kicked inward by Mars (whose orbital distance is 1.5 AU).

If Mars disappeared, then would asteroids still be able to move inward from the main belt to cross Earth's orbit? Yes, but with a far lower efficiency. Because as an asteroid's orbit gets stretched out, its closest approach to the Sun becomes smaller (and therefore closer to Earth) but its farthest approach becomes farther (and therefore closer to Jupiter). If the asteroid's orbit crosses Jupiter's it will be kicked out of the Solar System quickly.

Without Mars as a conveyor belt toward Earth, many fewer asteroids would be able to cross Earht's orbit and therefore hit us. So, the impact rate on Earth would be much lower.

Of course, the story would change if Mars' orbit were instead populated by a swarm of asteroids...

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    $\begingroup$ This is a specific example of what I as a layman dubbed "solar system evolution". All unstable orbits simply disappear (hey, they are unstable, right?), including those that are likely to collide with planets etc. What remains is an assortment of bodies in orbits which together are fairly stable. Is there any chance that a disappearing Mars has a long-term destabilizing effect on the solar system as a whole? Like, the minor resulting disturbances of other planets or bodies set off a snowball effect until everything settles in a different, and new, stable configuration? $\endgroup$ Aug 4, 2016 at 8:47
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    $\begingroup$ Speaking of asteroids ... wonder what happens to Mar's 2x Moons when it magically vanishes ... $\endgroup$ Aug 4, 2016 at 15:31

Earth's orbit would not be affected significantly by Mars' disappearance. However, a similar thought experiment would turn out quite differerently. If Earth disappeared, Venus' orbit would become unstable, and Venus would either fall into the Sun or perhaps collide with Mercury (a collision with Mars is unlikely). This is because Venus' orbit is located at an unstable "secular resonance" with Jupiter, where Venus' orbit should precess at the same rate as Jupiter's. This would cause Venus' orbit to become extremely stretched out (i.e., its orbital eccentricity would increase drastically). Grvitational kicks from Earth actually prevent Venus from falling into this resonance (called the nu_5 fyi). But if Earth disappeared, Venus would enter the resonance, have its orbit stretched out, and probably fall onto the Sun.

FYI, this was only discovered in 1998 (original paper downloadable here: http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1998AJ....116.2055I)

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    $\begingroup$ I wonder whether there are any asteroids whose orbits are affected by Mars, and that would become more (or less) likely to hit Earth as a consequence of Mars not being there. $\endgroup$ Aug 3, 2016 at 17:03
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    $\begingroup$ An asteroid that is going to enter the inner Solar System follows a standard path. It enters a resonance with Jup or Sat, then has its orbit stretched out until it crosses the orbit of Mars. Then Mars gravitationally scatters the asteroid inward toward Earth. With no Mars it would be significantly more difficult for asteroids to reach Earth, because instead of crossing Mars' orbit the asteroids would first cross Jupiter's orbit and be ejected from the Solar System. So, now that I think of it, I think that a lower asteroidal impact rate could be the main consequence of Mars disappearing.... $\endgroup$ Aug 3, 2016 at 20:14
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    $\begingroup$ This doesn't really answer the question, but it is still interesting enough and relevant enough to warrant an up-vote. $\endgroup$
    – Simba
    Aug 4, 2016 at 15:38
  • $\begingroup$ Only over millions of years. If something similar applied to earth, it wouldn't be a concern. $\endgroup$ Aug 31, 2017 at 13:19

The gravitational pull of the Mars on earth is pretty minimal. However, with its absence, the Earth's orbit will be a little (parts in million perhaps) more elliptical. I doubt this would do any real change. Light coming from Mars is negligible, so that can be ignored too.

Only difference it would make is that we wouldn't have a planet that is easy to analyze and have dreams of colonizing it.

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    $\begingroup$ Well, Mars disappearing would certainly have large implications to human society. Especially if it was mysterious to us. After all, not few people would ask whether the Earth could be next. $\endgroup$
    – celtschk
    Aug 3, 2016 at 9:51

To actually answer your question (and not just say that it is pointless because it is impossible):

If Mars disappeared right now it would not have any affect on Earth whatsoever. You did ask the question in the context of "if Mars had never existed". Mars' gravitational pull in the Solar System is negligible to Earth's existence. Both of Mars' moons are captured asteroids, so if you are implying that they would still exist and not disappear as well --- their orbit would change but I do not know the mathematical calculations to determine where they would go. It would depend on where they were when Mars disappeared. Mars does not block asteroids from hitting Earth, so there would not be an increase of impacts on Earth if Mars disappeared (explanation below). Though the person who discussed the Kirkwood Gaps --- nice! Not many people know about those.

The only thing you would need to assess about Mars' non-existence is how it would alter the human component. Mars is an integral piece of human history and has an important role in almost every culture on Earth (probably every culture but I cannot speak with specifics). That would be the only thing affected.

Note: It is actually not true that Earth would receive less impacts if Mars disappeared because of Mars being closer to the asteroid belt. It is true that Mars receives more impacts than Earth because it is closer to the asteroid belt (roughly 200 impacts a year larger than 10 meters appear on Mars, and this is mostly due to the lack of atmosphere on Mars that doesn't burn up the material during entry). But that doesn't mean that Earth would receive more impacts if Mars wasn't there. Mars has a highly eccentric orbit and its closeness to the asteroid belt changes. When it is closer to the asteroid belt it receives more impacts, when it is farther from the belt it receives less. Earth's relative position to the asteroid belt does not change so it would not receive more impacts just because Mars is gone. Mars does not defend Earth from asteroid impacts... Earth's moon does. It would be highly probable that any impacts that would have been absorbed by Mars that happen to be on a course with Earth would either be absorbed by the Moon or burn up in Earth's atmosphere during entry. Regardless, there were waaaaaay more impacts in the past than there are now. So if you are asking what would happen if Mars disappeared RIGHT NOW, the change to the impact rate on Earth would be inconsequential.


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