If a highly technologically advanced (and educated, healthy, genetically diverse, etc.) group of 200 people colonized a planet, how many people would there be 1,000 years later if the planet they colonize is much like earth, they have brought the required supplies (i.e. frozen embryos, frozen sperm, seeds)?


closed as too broad by Hohmannfan, Josh King, JDługosz, Frostfyre, Brythan Jul 25 '16 at 2:45

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  • $\begingroup$ This is way too broad. How can we predict 1000 years of development on a planet we know very little about? $\endgroup$ – Hohmannfan Jul 25 '16 at 0:51
  • $\begingroup$ This seems to have been discussed before, too. I recall looking at generation numbers and population in a similar but better specified question. $\endgroup$ – JDługosz Jul 25 '16 at 1:29
  • $\begingroup$ Welcome to the site, Barbara. As Homannfan indicated, there are a lot of unknowns here. Factors like prevalence of disease, solar radiation levels, genetic disposition, and gravity-induced stress can all have an impact on fertility, birth rates, and life expectancy. If you would edit your question to include details about your world, I believe the community would appreciate it. $\endgroup$ – Frostfyre Jul 25 '16 at 1:55
  • $\begingroup$ Y might expect 30'000'000 with 1.2% growth rate. But if they have tech to automatize process, artificial womb, cloning etc - any number can be expected, as example 10^22 peoples(for systems like ours) or how much they can get energy for. I highly recommend this YT channel Isaac Arthur to get grasp how things in future (and colonization) may look like. It's good source for hard scify setting stuff. $\endgroup$ – MolbOrg Jul 25 '16 at 2:55
  • $\begingroup$ @Hohmannfan I certainly understand your point about a millennium of development. What I don't understand is your remark about "a planet we know very little about" because the OP's question says "the planet they colonize is much like earth". This suggests a planet not too dissimilar to Earth, not an alien planet. I'd assume this means between 95% and 99.99% earthlike, say, 99% to be generous to the OP. This is a question about population dynamics. $\endgroup$ – a4android Jul 29 '16 at 7:37