If a highly technologically advanced (and educated, healthy, genetically diverse, etc.) group of 200 people colonized a planet, how many people would there be 1,000 years later if the planet they colonize is much like earth, they have brought the required supplies (i.e. frozen embryos, frozen sperm, seeds)?

  • $\begingroup$ This is way too broad. How can we predict 1000 years of development on a planet we know very little about? $\endgroup$ – SE - stop firing the good guys Jul 25 '16 at 0:51
  • $\begingroup$ This seems to have been discussed before, too. I recall looking at generation numbers and population in a similar but better specified question. $\endgroup$ – JDługosz Jul 25 '16 at 1:29
  • $\begingroup$ Welcome to the site, Barbara. As Homannfan indicated, there are a lot of unknowns here. Factors like prevalence of disease, solar radiation levels, genetic disposition, and gravity-induced stress can all have an impact on fertility, birth rates, and life expectancy. If you would edit your question to include details about your world, I believe the community would appreciate it. $\endgroup$ – Frostfyre Jul 25 '16 at 1:55
  • $\begingroup$ Y might expect 30'000'000 with 1.2% growth rate. But if they have tech to automatize process, artificial womb, cloning etc - any number can be expected, as example 10^22 peoples(for systems like ours) or how much they can get energy for. I highly recommend this YT channel Isaac Arthur to get grasp how things in future (and colonization) may look like. It's good source for hard scify setting stuff. $\endgroup$ – MolbOrg Jul 25 '16 at 2:55
  • $\begingroup$ @Hohmannfan I certainly understand your point about a millennium of development. What I don't understand is your remark about "a planet we know very little about" because the OP's question says "the planet they colonize is much like earth". This suggests a planet not too dissimilar to Earth, not an alien planet. I'd assume this means between 95% and 99.99% earthlike, say, 99% to be generous to the OP. This is a question about population dynamics. $\endgroup$ – a4android Jul 29 '16 at 7:37