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Jormungandr, the Snakebot of Doom, was intended by its designers to destroy human infrastructure by rolling over it, however it was also provided with the means to accelerate around 30 metric tons of steel to velocities up to 8.5 kps each second, and to resupply its bunkerage indefinitely as long as there is sufficient steel in the local environment.

For the most part, it fires large 6.8 ton steel railgun slugs, each capable of disintegrating into hundreds or thousands of pieces of shrapnel prior to impact, if necessary.

However, it seemt to be overkill to target each human dwelling with 6.8 tons of hyper-velocity steel shot when rather less would still do the job of causing a complete structural collapse such that a house would no longer be considered to be a functional - or safe - house without considerable human effort.

A comparison of a railgun round may be made with a bomb, but the two weapons deliver damage to structures in different ways. A bomb delivers a generalized overpressure wave over a large area, and often a frangible case must be added to include shrapnel which may deliver a penetrating impact, otherwise the overpressure wave either will or will not be strong enough to cause significant damage.

A railgun round or submunition, like a bullet, delivers energy to a target at a single point of impact on a particular vector. If the ballistic object is small enough, the impact energy may cause the object to vaporize like a micrometeorite, effectively releasing the impact energy as a small explosion. A ballistic projectile that does not vaporize transfers energy to the object it impacts as it passes through that object's structure. This slows the projectile and causes a shock wave to travel through the target.

A single big fast projectile would impact a house and punch through, the energy transfer shattering any structure in the vicinity of the shot path, but causing little damage at greater distances. A house could not possibly absorb all the energy from a 6.8t projectile moving at 3-8 kps, and the projectile would eventually impact the ground where it would expend the remainder of its energy, to little useful effect when you consider that the destruction of the house is the desired outcome.

Ideally, the projectile submunitions would be sized so that at their impact velocity, they would deliver all of their energy to the target structure just before reaching the ground. The submunitions should impact at a separation that would give the greatest probability that the target's structure would be mechanically compromised without overkill that would reduce the structure to rubble - the goal here is to cause a guaranteed structural collapse with a minimum of energy, allowing the excess energy to be delivered to nearby target structures.

The Question:

How much hyper-velocity steel shot (of whatever size is most practical up to 1000 cubic centimeters in volume), applied in a fairly even distribution pattern descending upon a modern first world house at 3 to 8 kilometers per second would it take to cause a complete structural collapse?

By extension, how many such houses might be destroyed by a single 6.8 metric ton disintegrating railgun round?

Would houses of differing construction require significantly more or less shot to destroy effectively?

At those sorts of velocities, heat and fire may become a factor as the shrapnel would be quite hot, but for purposes of this question that should be discounted, as conditions and materials may preclude a fire from destroying any given structure.

In other terms, how much kinetic energy does it take to cause a modern first-world suburban house to collapse? Obviously different construction methods and designs may require more or less energy than others.

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  • $\begingroup$ So when's the next part due? :D $\endgroup$ – dot_Sp0T Apr 7 '18 at 7:38
  • $\begingroup$ If I did the math right, and I always forget which metric I need to use for the Ek=1/2M*V^2, But if I'm right you would have 2,4*10^11 Joules of energy on your hands for the 6,8 ton projectile. The second most powerful non-nuclear bomb ever designed has 4,6^10^10 Joules of energy, so you are a magnitude above that bomb with each shot... The question becomes more: Does this thing overpenetrate or does it work like a micro-meteorite? $\endgroup$ – Demigan Apr 7 '18 at 7:59
  • $\begingroup$ @dot_Sp0T, the Universe Factory people have Ch8, so that is up to them. I am proofreading Ch 9 and working on Ch 10+. $\endgroup$ – Monty Wild Apr 7 '18 at 8:27
  • $\begingroup$ @Demigan, the distribution of the impact energy is a function of the impact velocity and the size of the submunitions, which may both vary. With sufficiently small submunitions, each might vaporize upon impact, or with larger submunitions, there would be overpenetration. I suspect that a little overpenetration would provide more effective destruction of a modern first-world detached residence than a submunition that effectively explodes upon impact. $\endgroup$ – Monty Wild Apr 7 '18 at 8:58
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At least a car's worth of Kinetic Energy

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A Car at 40 km/h has maybe 1 MJ of KE per ton. Judging from the above photo, I will estimate that you need about 4 impacts to ruin the house completely, although in fairness no one is going to want to live in a house with a taxi-size hole in the front bedroom. Assuming a 2 ton taxi, you need roughly 150g of material at 5000 m/s to cause the same damage.

That house (from suburban Chicago) has a footprint of maybe 150 m$^2$, based around the average home size in that area. If we want 4 impacts per 150 m$^2$, then a 6800 kg projectile should burst into approximately 45,000 pieces covering 1.7 km$^2$.

Due to random distribution, some houses would likely still be standing intact, some ruined for use, and some completely obliterated. A useful side effect is that since we aren't targeting, roadways will be heavily cratered by whatever shots hit them. All in all, that is a pretty good return on investment per shot.

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  • $\begingroup$ Actually, it may be even more effective than you think. Each railgun round can carry a number of nanites, so the submunitions may be more aimed than you might anticipate from a cluster weapon. You may well get submunitions impacting in places on the house where observations and statistical probability suggest that internal walls may be... $\endgroup$ – Monty Wild Apr 7 '18 at 13:32
  • $\begingroup$ Btw, its 5000 m/s, not 5000 kps. 5000 kps and a 150g projectile is 1.875TJ, which is "Look at the crater where that house used to be" levels of destruction. We're talking more on the order of 1.875 MJ, which is still nearly 2 sticks of dynamite equivalent. $\endgroup$ – Monty Wild Apr 7 '18 at 13:46

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