Timeline for The military application of predictive modeling
Current License: CC BY-SA 3.0
8 events
when toggle format | what | by | license | comment | |
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May 13, 2015 at 13:48 | comment | added | Jim2B | I interpreted the question slightly differently. | |
May 13, 2015 at 13:31 | comment | added | kutschkem | @Jim2B I thought the premise of the question is what happens when everyone gets really good at predicting? | |
May 13, 2015 at 13:26 | comment | added | Jim2B | @kutschkem, probably not :( . Remember our analysis depends upon correctly divining our opponent's objects and also the importance of those objectives. If either of these are wrong our analysis might make incorrect suggestions about what strategies we should take to achieve our goals. | |
May 13, 2015 at 13:22 | comment | added | Jim2B | Probably most well establish states use it. Just remember that although the US State Department and military do use it as preparation for things to come, it does not mean the President follows their advice. I thought the US bungle Ukraine badly and think this might have been one of those cases where either our game theory analysis was wrong or the President did his own thing. | |
May 13, 2015 at 11:33 | comment | added | Jose Luis | It should be noted that obviously the russians are also using game theory. If Ukraine becomes a NATO member what do we do etc... | |
May 13, 2015 at 9:48 | comment | added | kutschkem | So, if everyone is rational, will we end up with a nash-equilibrium? Both prisoners stay silent? | |
May 12, 2015 at 16:38 | history | edited | Jim2B | CC BY-SA 3.0 |
fixed spelling
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May 12, 2015 at 15:22 | history | answered | Jim2B | CC BY-SA 3.0 |